Calibration System And Method For Calibrating An Industrial System Model Using Simulation Failure

Abstract: A calibration system and method for calibrating a model of dynamics of an industrial system is provided. The calibration method includes simulating the model multiple times with different combinations of parameters within an admissible range of values of the parameters to estimate success or failure of the simulation. Training the calibration system, iteratively, until a termination condition is met for defining a likelihood of failure of the simulation of the model and for a probabilistic parameter-to-cost mapping between various combinations of different values of the parameters of the model and their corresponding calibration errors. Further, calibrating, when the termination condition is met, the model with an optimal combination of the parameters having the largest likelihood of minimizing the calibration errors at the probabilistic parameter-to-cost mapping.

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